4 million cruise passengers target to be exceeded by 2018

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(c) cruisemapper.com

Indicators of a booming Scottish tourism industry keep coming in.

From Insider yesterday:

‘A ‘significant milestone’ will be reached when the passenger total since 2010, passes the four million mark.

A total of 761 vessels visited Scotland last year, bringing with them more than 680,000 passengers. There are currently 815 vessels with approximately 821,000 passengers expected in the season that gets underway this month and continues through into the autumn. “A significant milestone will be achieved this year when the passenger total since 2010 will pass the four million mark,” said Andrew Hemphill, chair of Cruise Scotland.’

https://www.insider.co.uk/news/scottish-cruises-2018-cruise-scotland-12128981

See these earlier reports on increasing cruise passenger numbers:

As Scottish Tourism soars, Outer Hebrides to become major centre of marine tourism with funds mostly from SNP-led Scottish government

Lerwick harbour to see record business in 2017

‘Oban set to become marine tourism hub’

As always, there’s much more if you search the blog for ‘tourism’ or ‘economy’.

Four actions reported in one day show why this must still be the most popular and most trusted government in Scottish history

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https://news.gov.scot/

In 2015, Scottish Social Attitudes Survey (SSA) found that trust in the Scottish government was three times higher than that in the UK government. 73% of people in Scotland trusted the Scottish government. This was higher than for any previous Labour/Lib Dem coalition and I suspect much higher than for the last independent one in 1707. Trust in the UK government was 23%. Again, I doubt it’s so high today. The Scottish government was also trusted by 49% to make ‘fair decisions’ while the figures for local government and Whitehall were only 34 and 18% respectively.

http://www.gov.scot/Resource/0049/00497047.pdf

While a powerful anti-SNP media campaign, especially that focusing on unfounded criticisms of NHS Scotland, a short Corbyn surge in 2017 and the disgraceful flight of some Labour supporters to the Tories, putting the Union before their social values, created a dip in support at the time of the last general election, support for the SNP has risen again and looks solid at near 40%. See paragraph four in:

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2017/10/how-much-difficulty-are-the-snp-in/

That the SNP government should be popular to this day is clearly apparent in the enormous lists of achievements by the independent Grouse Beater in April 2016 and by the SNP itself in 2018:

https://grousebeater.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/the-snps-achievements/

https://www.snp.org/record

I was reminded of all of the above, by reading of four Scottish government actions in one day, yesterday (posted above), which seemed so indicative of why we are so fortunate to have this administration rather than the utterly repugnant Whitehall as its actions hammer the poor, the disabled and the civilians of Yemen, to name just three groups of victims.

Footnote: On the same day, our Foreign Secretary was blustering, like a second-rate Churchill, about punishing the Russians if they are found to have poisoned an ex-spy. Punishing the Russians? Aye right!

Scottish business confidence soars above UK level as sales increase

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According to latest ICAEW business confidence monitor, confidence in Scotland is now markedly higher than in the rest of the UK. Indeed, as you can see from the above chart confidence has been low for most of the last 15 months in many areas.

Over the past 12 months, export sales have grown by 3.4% and domestic sales have grown by 2.4%. In addition, profits are expected to rise 5.3% in the next year. These two factors will, in part, have lead to increased business confidence in the first quarter of 2018.  Finally, R&D budgets have risen by 3.1%, 0.7% higher than the UK average.

https://www.icaew.com/-/media/corporate/files/technical/economy/business-confidence-monitor/bcm-2018-q1-report.ashx

This report follows, and seems to confirm, two very positive earlier survey reports, from the Bank of Scotland and the CBI, in February 2018. See:

Scottish business confidence soars to three and a half-year high

Another leap in confidence for Scotland’s economy

BBC Reporting Scotland will be all over this, won’t they?

Value of top Edinburgh hotels grows significantly faster than rest of Europe

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(c) destination360.com

From Insider, yesterday:

‘Booming demand from visitors saw the values of Edinburgh’s top hotels rise by 6.3% last year, significantly higher than the European average (3.9%). Figures from the European Hotel Valuation Index published this week by hotel consultancy HVS showed that values of four and five star hotels across Europe grew by 3.9% in 2017 compared with the previous year when values stood still on average.’

https://www.insider.co.uk/news/value-top-edinburgh-hotels-grows-12128682

This news simply adds to a stream of good news stories about the Scottish economy in general and specifically about tourism. See these recent examples:

Tourism spending in Scotland surges ahead of UK figure

North Americans lead surge in Scottish tourism because they feel safer here

Massive increase in Chinese visitors to Edinburgh NOT attributed to weak pound and attracted by ‘Strongman skirt parties’

More evidence of actual strength in Scottish economy ignored by Scottish mainstream media

As always, there’s much more if you search the blog for ‘tourism’, ‘economy’ or ‘Edinburgh.’

Why Scotland’s huge renewable energy production may need no huge energy storage breakthrough to flourish

1200px-Dam_at_Cruachan_reservoir

My headline is a shameless rewording of the title of a US piece in CleanTechnica on March 4th, which naturally made me think of Scotland. Much has been said and written about the weakness in our massive growth in renewables, storage. I’ve already written about solutions already being developed in Scotland, such as batteries, conversion to hydrogen and the exploitation of more reliable offshore wind and tidal forces. For more on these see:

Storing Scotland’s over-production of electricity in 100Mw batteries

Europe’s biggest hydrogen-powered bus fleet and now the UK’s biggest hydrogen cell installation are both in Scotland

Re-opened Scottish dock to build state-of-the-art floating windfarm to begin to exploit Scotland’s 25% share of all of Europe’s offshore wind potential

As world’s largest tidal energy plant in Pentland Firth generates 1GWh which is enough for 700 000 homes, will Scotland become the most energy-rich country in Europe?

Always at the back of my mind, though, has been another technology, well-established here, which I’ve read little of in a Scottish context. You may have thought of it yourself (before seeing the photograph above) but before I get to it, see this from the CleanTechnica report based on the USA:

‘In the last couple of years, there has been a growing a number of news articles and blog posts published about energy storage, particularly in the form of battery systems. This interest is very reasonable, and the news is exciting because these systems can fill in wind power and solar power electricity production gaps.  However, it appears as though pumped hydro storage is being overlooked, with all the hype about batteries. It still has huge potential to help balance clean, renewable energy. In fact, all the discourse about battery storage seems to be supporting the idea that this form of storage is going to solve clean energy intermittency issues, but there are gaps in what batteries can provide, so let’s take a look at pumped hydro so we can see just how large a factor it could become.’

https://cleantechnica.com/2018/03/04/no-huge-energy-storage-breakthrough-needed-renewable-energy/

‘Pumped hydro storage’ is, as far as I can see, the same thing as out long-established hydroelectric power stations, such as the one at Cruachan. Here’s how the US system is illustrated:

hydrostorage

I’m no technologist so is it just a hydroelectric power plant of the kind we have decades of working with? If so, why is this technology not being talked about for storage? My first reaction is that perhaps our hydroelectric power stations generate all the power they need by themselves to pump water back up for storage. There may however be other sites which would need the electricity from renewables to achieve their full storage potential. I don’t know. The US report suggests that there are potentially around 22 000 pumped hydro energy sites in Australia and that Germany already has plans to use the technology to store around 23Gw by 2050 so there must be something in this.

Finally, of course, there are environmental and safety concerns with battery storage while hydro is, to my knowledge, safer and more ecologically sound.

As in some earlier pieces, this is a social scientist dabbling in the physical sciences and technology but I know some readers are equipped to clarify or correct.

BBC Scotland website gets it right once more after Jackie bird deliberately gets it wrong, as usual.

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(c) FotoFling Scotland

According to the BBC website:

‘Scottish ministers are considering action against employers for docking the wages of staff who could not make it to work because of the bad weather.  The public was advised not to travel during the worst of the snow last week. Scottish Transport Minister Humza Yousaf said he had been contacted by people who were facing disciplinary action or potential docking of wages. He told the BBC that was not acceptable, and he would look at the legal position.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-43272396

It’s clear from the above whose side the Scottish Government is on and it was clear to most of us whose side the First Minister was on when after questioning why so many HGVs were on the roads despite a red warning she said:

‘I do think we have to be very clear in the message we’re sending to companies who deliver goods with HGVs, and this is not a criticism of drivers because driver safety is one of the important issues here.’

https://youtu.be/fUqOAEhJaYk

Yet Reporting Scotland’s veteran presenter said:

‘There was criticism today from the First Minister for some HGV drivers who ignored the red weather warning to stay off the roads.’

https://youtu.be/lk_HAag5o-0

This enabled BBC Scotland’s political wing, the Labour Party, to attack the First Minister.

This is the kind of effective wordplay typical of experienced propagandists who cause damage but then can pretend that their critics are over-reacting to a trivial matter of the casual choice of language. The devil is in the detail.

South East Asia can learn much from Scotland’s oil and renewables story

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(Map: wikipedia.org) (Photo: Scottish Renewables)

From Scottish Development International on 23 February 2018:

‘At first sight Scotland and South East Asia might not appear to have a lot in common but…..there are huge opportunities to work together to develop renewable energy projects…..South East Asia is home to a number of island nations, particularly Singapore, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand…..Like Scotland, their maritime resources are incredibly important for their development….Scotland has over 790 islands – perhaps not as many as the 17,000 in Indonesia or 7,000 in the Philippines – but the second largest number in Europe, behind Greece….And crucially, both Scotland and South East Asia have an abundance of natural resources that presents both challenges and opportunities for their respective energy sectors.’

The report goes on to suggest that Scotland has become a ‘world energy leader’ after 40 years’ experience in oil, gas and renewables and is very well-placed to share and to generate income from that experience globally.

https://www.sdi.co.uk/knowledge-hub/articles/comment/south-east-asia-learning-from-scotland

This is a topic much-reported in this blog over the last year or two. For more detail of Scottish expertise see:

Scotland’s expertise in renewable power generation now worth billions

Scotland’s tidal energy expertise to help poor communities in South-East Asia

Scotland’s oil and gas extraction expertise continues to earn millions

Scotland’s oil and gas expertise earned £11.4 billion in 2015/2016 supported by Scottish Government investment

As before, after four years of blogging, these represent only a few of many. For more, search the blog for ‘expertise’.

Scotland’s world-first offshore wind farm electricity to cost less than half that of Hinkley Point C nuclear and has ability to withstand hurricanes.

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A report in arsTECHNICA two days ago suggests Scotland’s offshore wind farms have massive potential to become our most economical and most efficient form of electricity generation in the coming years.

Hywind, 25km off Peterhead is the world’s first commercial floating offshore wind farm. It started sending electricity to the grid last October and had a 65% capacity over the last 3 months. Theoretically at 100% the farm would be sending 30Mw per minute though a range from 40 to 60% is more realistic.

The cost of wind power generally continues to fall dramatically as the cost of nuclear soars by around 35%. See:

Scottish electricity generation from renewables costs to fall to a quarter of nuclear costs by 2040

The survival of offshore farms during violent storms seems, intuitively a risk factor but the Hywind farm is equipped to withstand them. Last October’s Hurricane Ophelia brought wind speeds of 125 to160km/h and waves as high as 8.2m. According to the arsTECHNICA report:

‘Whilst the wind turbines shut down for safety reasons during the worst of these winds, they automatically resumed operation promptly afterwards,” Statoil wrote. “A pitch motion controller is integrated with the Hywind turbine’s control system and will adjust the angle of the turbine blades during heavy winds which mitigates excessive motions of the structure.’

Finally, returning to cost:

‘By 2030, Statoil says, it hopes to bring the cost of floating offshore wind down to €40-60 per MWh ($50-74 per MWh).’

https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2018/03/first-floating-wind-farm-has-performed-better-than-expected/

In sharp contrast, Hinkley Point C (Costly?) was initially guaranteed £92.50 MWh but this is inflation-linked and is already closer to £100/MWh. This guarantee also stands for 35 years. A very bad deal indeed for the UK consumer but not for us given that we must surely break away long before 35 years have passed.

Forgiving Lib-Dem in role of Herald health correspondent today to feed free anti-SNP copy on GP vacancies

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Not a man to bear grudges, Alex Cole-Hamilton turns up today as part-time, unpaid, junior, assistant, temporary, health correspondent for the Herald (and anyone else).

This is, of course, just the latest in a series of stories made up by the Lib-Dems, Labour and Tories in an attempt to undermine the Scottish Government and to provide our shrinking mainstream media with free copy. Here are earlier examples reported here:

As NHS staffing climbs, Labour co-ordinate anti-SNP propaganda in Herald, Scotsman, BBC and STV on nursing and midwifery staffing

Herald and STV able to cut staffing after outsourcing their Health Correspondent role on a rotational basis to Labour and Tories. NHS Scotland spending 0.46% of budget on overtime while English nurses do it unpaid!

Lib Dems provide STV and Herald with cheap and shabby copy on NHS consultant costs

Today, it’s the turn of the Lib Dem health spokesman Alex Cole-Hamilton to tell us:

‘A GP post in Scotland has lain vacant for two years, the Scottish Liberal Democrats have found.  Health boards told the party of GP positions which had been advertised eight times without success.’

This makes, he said, for a “crisis” in general practice in Scotland.

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/16063668.GP_post_empty_for_two_years_amid_recruitment_crisis__Lib_Dems_claim/

I appreciate that he hasn’t had the benefit of journalism training, so a complete lack of context was to be expected. I also appreciate, it would have made little difference such is his desire to gnaw, rattily at the reputation of the best NHS around.

Now, I’m not saying that one vacant post doesn’t matter but I suspect that after two years, the work is being covered by a system which has more GPs per capita than elsewhere and which seems to have higher morale too. See these for evidence, Alex:

‘Scotland has more GPs per head of population than any other part of the UK, newly released statistics show’

Already the best staffed and least stressed in the UK, Scottish GPs to get better contracts

New Scottish GP contract rated far superior, by BMA, to English equivalent as Scottish GP numbers hold steady and NHS England loses 1 000 in one year!

No time for rest Alex! The Scotsman, STV and BBC want something on this too, by noon today. Shift yourself, boy! What are we paying you for? We’re not paying you? It’s an arrangement with the editor? Oh, I get it. Hail Brittania!

As fire casualties fall below Scottish Government target, Herald headlines, evidence-free, ‘cuts and a postcode lottery have led to deaths’

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The number of fire casualties to the end of Q4 2016/2017 was 887. This is 8% lower than the Scottish Government Target of reducing such casualties to 966. The number of accidental dwelling fires had increased, in the same year, by more than 10%, to 4922.

http://www.firescotland.gov.uk/media/1165082/quarterly_performance_report.pdf

However, on the basis of what appear to be merely anecdotal and partisan comments from a trades union secretary, the Herald reported:

‘Denise Christie, Scottish Secretary of the Fire Brigades’ Union, said the controversial creation of a single nationwide service in 2013, coupled with austerity, has led “to the worsening of response times, increased fire losses and increased deaths”. ‘

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/16063588.Firefighters__leader_says_cuts_and_a____postcode_lottery____has_led_to_deaths/

No actual statistics to support the claims of worsening response times in 2017 were offered. However, the Times claimed to have gained access to figures showing that: ‘between 2011 and 2016, the average response time across Scotland grew by 24 seconds, to seven minutes 48 seconds.’

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/longer-response-times-blamed-on-firefighter-numbers-cuts-m39v2chtn

That represents an increase of 5.4% over 5 years or around 1% per year. With the number of dwelling fires to be tackled increasing 10% in 2016/2017, alone, this might suggest improved performance overall. I appreciate, I have not matched the time periods exactly but the lower number of casualties than predicted in the target set against the large increase in cases to be dealt with, in 2016/2017, does suggest an improving picture contrary to the Herald report.

Finally, in 2016/2017 firefighter staffing has been increased by 100 and Scottish Government funding, against the background of austerity cuts and excessive unresolved VAT demands, has increased by £21.7 million.

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/sp/?id=2017-10-25.1.0

With two dodgy anti-SNP reports on the website today, you’d think a date for Indyref2 had been announced.