Herald under fire over sneaky headline on one of UK’s best railway companies

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Here’s today’s headline:

‘ScotRail under fire over record £4.5 million performance fine’

The headline was later changed but remains in the url. You’d be forgiven for thinking that means a single £4.5 million fine when in fact it’s the total of all fines over the last year. Nineteen paragraphs in we find that the ‘fire’ comes from just one source, Dr John Mccormick of the Scottish association for Public Transport in a very short, vague quote, which looks like a sleepy response to an early-morning approach from the Herald rather than any spontaneous attack by him. Twenty paragraphs into the report we discover that the word ‘fine’ or ‘fines’ could have done with speech marks as they are not actually fines but a ‘reinvestment fund’ which is reinvested in the rail system.

To add a little context to the above story, here’s what the National Rail Passenger Survey for Autumn 2017, published in January 2018, found – 96% of ScotRail passengers were satisfied overall with their journeys. This placed ScotRail 4th (equal) out of 26 UK rail companies.

http://d3cez36w5wymxj.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/29201549/National-Rail-Passenger-Survey-%E2%80%93-NRPS-%E2%80%93-Autumn-2017-%E2%80%93-Main-Report.pdf

As for the fines. Is £4.5 million a high figure in the wider context? Well Southern Rail were fined £13.4 million in 2016/17 for just the London to Brighton run.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/jul/13/sothern-rail-unions-say-134m-fine-is-less-than-a-slap-on-the-wrist

Scottish GDP grows by 10 times UK rate in first quarter of 2018 or could that be 30 times with proper taxation of oil revenue?

e9d9649dfee7743c668ee2a66dbd4f6c

(c) http://energycatalyzer3.com

I know, I keep saying that GDP is not a useful measure of the health of an economy. Most real experts, i.e. not the ones in our media, have long discounted GDP. See this for a reminder:

Down with the cult of GDP. For us economists, it’s yesterday’s yardstick

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/apr/27/cult-of-gdp-economists-production-indicators

However, given their fondness for GDP, it’s worth BBC Scotland noting this good news for us. I feel sure they must. Here’s what Energy Voice had to say, today:

‘Scottish GDP grew last year in line with a slight (sic) upturn in North Sea revenues. The latest quarterly national accounts show that when a geographical share of offshore oil and gas is included, GDP grew by 1% in the last three months of 2017 and 3.4% over the year as a whole. Over the year, Scotland’s geographical share of North Sea oil revenues returned to a surplus, with tax revenues rising to just over £1 billion, up from minus £130 million the previous year. Onshore GDP is estimated at £152.1 billion, or £28,046 per person, in current prices.’

https://www.energyvoice.com/oilandgas/north-sea/170499/north-sea-oil-revenues-sees-economic-boost-for-scotland/

As for the UK, or the EU, for that matter:

‘Quarterly growth in the 19-member single currency slipped to 0.4 per cent in the three months to March, but in the UK, growth was just 0.1 per cent.’

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/eurozone-gdp-latest-uk-stagnation-eurostat-office-for-national-statistics-a8332206.html

Bear in mind the above £1 billion tax revenue is actually only a tiny share of what the Treasury should be gathering, even at 20% corporation tax-level.

Here’s the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast reported in Energy Voice:

‘A new report predicts UK oil and gas revenues will be £400million higher every year from now until 2023 – in the latest sign that the North Sea is on the mend. In its fiscal and economic outlook, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said its revenue forecast had been revised upwards due to higher oil prices, increased production and lower costs. The Oil and Gas Authority recently lifted its long-term forecast for North Sea production by 2.8billion barrels of oil equivalent to 11.7billion barrels.’

They then predict tax revenues of £1 billion for each of the next five years.

https://www.energyvoice.com/oilandgas/north-sea/166095/obr-pushes-north-sea-revenue-projections/

Here’s what the revenue could/should be:

11.7 billion barrels at $70 per barrel, equals total revenue of $819 billion. Production costs estimated by the BP chief, last year, to be no more than $15 per barrel equal $175 billion. So that’s $644 billion or £474 billion, in profit, before wages and shared dividends yet the OBR thinks we only get £5 billion in tax revenue for the first five years. So that would be £34 billion by 2050. Isn’t that a bit low? UK corporation tax at 20% would give nearly £100 billion. What’s going on here?

Taking the above figures, could Scottish GDP actually have grown by 30 times the UK figure in Q1?

As knife and gun crime rockets across England and Wales and falls in Scotland, Scotland has far more police officers per head of population

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(c) SWNS

According to the Scotsman today:

‘Scottish police officer numbers at lowest level in nine years. In the first three months of year, Police Scotland had the equivalent of 17,170 full time officers, according to Scottish Government statistics. The last time the number of officers was lower was in the first three months of 2009, when the total was 17,048.’

https://www.scotsman.com/news/scottish-police-officer-numbers-at-lowest-level-in-nine-years-1-4733321

According to the Independent in January 2018:

‘Surges in knife and gun attacks drove an increase to 5.3 million crimes across England and Wales in the year to September 2017 – the largest rise since the introduction of a national recording regime in 2002. There was also more reported burglary, sexual offences, car theft and robbery, all coming alongside the mounting terror threat facing Britain. But in the same period, the number of police officers fell to 121,929, the lowest figure since comparable records began 22 years ago.’

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/crime-rises-statistics-england-wales-police-officer-numbers-record-low-government-tories-labour-cuts-a8178631.html

These figures mean that Scotland has one police officer for every 314.5 people while England and Wales have one for every 470.8 people. One policeman in England and Wales is therefore responsible for 156.3 or 49.7% more people than his/her Scottish equivalent. Violent crime is, of course, falling in Scotland. See:

Less homicide, less knife crime, less domestic violence, safer cities and now much lower alcohol problems: should Scotland’s old stereotypes be sent south?

As crime falls, Scots feel safer than ever before

BBC News tries to spread knife crime crisis into Scotland to tell us: ‘You’re no different. Don’t get any ideas!’

Lib Dems, Tories and Labour take turns to help Scotsman, STV and BBC Scotland cast unjustified doubt on successes of Police Scotland, as crime plummets regardless

I think the Scottish Tories are having a wee meeting today with Scotsman and other journalists squeezed in to report every word.

Return of the meme? Only 8% of the population but Scotland has 21.7% of all independent renewable projects in the UK

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(c) JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP/Getty Images

From, of course, Insider, today:

‘Scotland saw the highest percentage growth in overall independent renewable project numbers across Great Britain…. The 1,213 independent renewable projects – those outside of the traditional energy supply sector – in Scotland have a total capacity of just under 3 gigawatts (GW). Together they generate electricity worth around £350m and are able to power more than 2.1m homes…. Scotland saw the highest percentage growth in overall independent renewable project numbers across Great Britain, with a rise of 10.7%. Its 21.7% share of total GB independent renewable generation capacity means it continues to punch significantly above its weight given its relative population size.’

https://www.insider.co.uk/news/smartestenergy-renewables-scotland-energy-projects-12453930

Not mentioned in Insider, the situation in England is quite different. See:

‘Growth in independent renewable energy projects has slumped to its lowest level in years as government subsidies have fallen away.’

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/renewable-energy-projects-uk-government-funding-feed-in-tariffs-a8331276.html

It’s been a wee while since I’ve been able to use the ‘only 8% of the population but..’ headline. Here are some earlier ones:

Still 8% of the population but now 30% of UK food and drink exports?

8% of the UK population and 28% of living wage employers. More evidence that we are different enough to want to run the whole show?

With only 8% of the population, Scotland’s maritime sector accounts for 25% of the UK maritime sector’s (GVA) contribution to the economy and is 17.5% more productive than the UK marine oil and gas sector. Once more, too wee, too poor?

Once again, it’s the ‘8% of the UK population but much more of something good’ meme. This time it’s 33% of employee-owned firms in the UK

Sometimes the figures go the other way, for a good reason:

8% of the population but only 4% of the Tory MPs in the UK

Scotsman, Herald and Tories collude in another laughable attempt to unseat Scottish Health Secretary using NHS Scotland’s success stories

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‘Is that Ruth’s voice coming from one of our storerooms?’

(c) Ian Rutherford

‘Health Secretary put ‘on notice’ by Tories’

‘Shona Robison under mounting pressure over cancelled operations’

Those are today’s Herald and Scotsman headlines aimed at starting another feeble push against the Health Secretary. We read in the Scotsman:

‘The Scottish Conservatives will use their debating time to put Ms Robison ‘on notice’ as they demand urgent action to sort out NHS finances. Shona Robison was under mounting pressure tonight after new NHS data identified a rise in cancelled operations, missed A and E targets and an increase in bed-blocking. The damaging statistics were released ahead of a Holyrood debate on Wednesday that will see the beleaguered Health Secretary’s performance put further under the microscope.’ 

https://www.scotsman.com/news/shona-robison-under-mounting-pressure-over-cancelled-operations-1-4733019

I’ll deal with their ill-chosen criteria, cancelled operations, missed A and E targets and an increase in bed-blocking, below but first a wee comment on the source of the pressure. The ‘mounting pressure’ comes from the party which has had to downgrade its flagship annual conference to an internal meeting because of lack of interest? It also comes from the same party currently destroying NHS England. I’ve already had some fun, mixed with nausea, with the ‘Sack Shona campaign’. See:

Pressure on Herald editor to resign over misrepresentation of NHS successes as Health Secretary is nominated for award as most successful in UK

Hungry, slavering, co-ordinated campaign by Scottish media and the opposition parties to unseat Health Secretary is despicable and utterly cynical

‘NHS England cancelling operations at three times the rate in Scotland!’ or ‘With 10% of the population to care for, NHS Scotland cancels only 3.3% of NHS England operations cancelled in January’

Why are the Tories’ three criteria, cancelled operations, missed A and E targets and an increase in bed-blocking, such bad choices to attack the SNP with? It’s simple. By comparison with NHS England, NHS Scotland is performing much better on all three measures of performance. See:

‘NHS England cancelling operations at three times the rate in Scotland!’ or ‘With 10% of the population to care for, NHS Scotland cancels only 3.3% of NHS England operations cancelled in January’

Bed-blocking in NHS Scotland falls by nearly 10% in one year as the rate in NHS England surges to nearly 500% higher, per capita, than that in NHS Scotland!

NHS Scotland A&E performance is more than 10% better than NHS England though BBC Salford mislead viewers by using wrong figure

NHS Scotland A&E significantly outperforms NHS England A&E in February 2018

Have they finished?

Robust Scottish Economy Indicator No. 47*: Demand for office space up 96%

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(c) projectscot.com

Again, from my regular source, but one apparently invisible to BBC Scotland, Insider:

‘Record investment for Scottish offices of £342m: The firm [Savills] said the Q1 figure was 96 per cent above the historic first quarter average for the sector and was pushing prices higher.’

https://www.insider.co.uk/news/savills-record-investment-scotland-q1-12437135

The demand for office space, unlike GDP or GERs, is an objective measure of health in an economy. Business people do not compete for office space at higher premiums unless they confidently expect to make enough money to pay for it. As before, here’s a reminder of other such reliable indicators:

Scottish business confidence higher than in any other region of UK

Scottish businesses more likely to be stable than those in rest of UK: News from a parallel universe unknown to our mainstream media

Hard evidence of a robust economy further undermines media doubts based on unreliable and meaningless GDP statistics

Scottish economy is thriving on innovation as patent filing runs at 4 times the UK rate

And more evidence of a strong economy: starting salaries in Scotland increase at quickest rate for more than 3 years

17% increase in number of Scots planning to start a new business as Scottish economy strengthens

Scotland’s economy continues to show signs of good health and growth

Reports of a strong Scottish economy just keep coming. Now debt decrees down 93% in the last three months

More evidence Scottish economy is strong: Demand for office space in Glasgow highest for ten years

Clear signs of a robust economy? 15% increase in Edinburgh office take-up in 2017 and Glasgow set for a ‘stellar 12 months.’

Scottish businesses continue to show signs of health with insolvencies down 23% as the Scottish economy holds strong

The Auditor General strongly, with no qualifications, commends the Scottish Government on its ‘sound’ management of the economy. The lowest under-spend since devolution.

With only 8% of the population, Scotland’s maritime sector accounts for 25% of the UK maritime sector’s (GVA) contribution to the economy and is 17.5% more productive than the UK marine oil and gas sector. Once more, too wee, too poor?

12% increase in the formation of social enterprises in Scotland over only 2 years leads to a £2 billion economic contribution to Scottish economy.

England runs massive trade deficit. Only Scotland has a viable sustainable economy, exporting more than she imports thus requiring no national debt

Enough?

Footnote: 47 is mere estimate…..like GDP and GERS.

Scottish business confidence higher than in any other region of UK

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(c) eTurboNews

In Insider today:

‘Business confidence in Scotland and across the UK is on the the up, according to two new reports. As measured by the latest Bank of Scotland Business Barometer, positivity north of the Border rose 18 points during April to reach a balance of 30 per cent, the biggest rise of any UK region. The Business Barometer – which measures those with a positive versus negative outlook – found 41 per cent of companies in Scotland are more upbeat about their individual business prospects. On the question of the wider economic outlook, a balance of 18 per cent said they were confident. Together, this gives an overall confidence of 30 per cent, 18 points above the previous month’s figure of 12 per cent.’

https://www.insider.co.uk/news/bank-of-scotland-business-barometer-12439310

It’s been a few weeks since the last of such surveys suggesting the Scottish economy is in better health than our media would have us believe. See these for a reminder of how much evidence there is:

Scottish businesses more likely to be stable than those in rest of UK: News from a parallel universe unknown to our mainstream media

Hard evidence of a robust economy further undermines media doubts based on unreliable and meaningless GDP statistics

Scottish economy is thriving on innovation as patent filing runs at 4 times the UK rate

And more evidence of a strong economy: starting salaries in Scotland increase at quickest rate for more than 3 years

17% increase in number of Scots planning to start a new business as Scottish economy strengthens

Scotland’s economy continues to show signs of good health and growth

Reports of a strong Scottish economy just keep coming. Now debt decrees down 93% in the last three months

More evidence Scottish economy is strong: Demand for office space in Glasgow highest for ten years

Clear signs of a robust economy? 15% increase in Edinburgh office take-up in 2017 and Glasgow set for a ‘stellar 12 months.’

Scottish businesses continue to show signs of health with insolvencies down 23% as the Scottish economy holds strong

The Auditor General strongly, with no qualifications, commends the Scottish Government on its ‘sound’ management of the economy. The lowest under-spend since devolution.

With only 8% of the population, Scotland’s maritime sector accounts for 25% of the UK maritime sector’s (GVA) contribution to the economy and is 17.5% more productive than the UK marine oil and gas sector. Once more, too wee, too poor?

12% increase in the formation of social enterprises in Scotland over only 2 years leads to a £2 billion economic contribution to Scottish economy.

England runs massive trade deficit. Only Scotland has a viable sustainable economy, exporting more than she imports thus requiring no national debt

Enough?

BBC Scotland News and Print Journalism on Scottish policing: ‘Forces’ in crisis?

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BBC Scotland and our ‘newspapers’ have dropped their attacks on NHS Scotland today and shifted to their other proxy war tactic of getting at the SNP via Police Scotland. This morning we heard of a ‘special investigation’ which will be reported more fully tonight as ‘BBC Scotland Investigates: A Force in Crisis’. Note the lack of speech or question marks in the title – guilty as charged?

Now, I have no doubt there will have been unacceptable behaviour by some officers, at some time, and that full transparency is desirable but it’s important to note that what we are hearing is an attempt to amplify the frequency and level of deviance so as to create a panic about the system as a whole. The resulting panic is then a useful addition to a strategy of attacking the independence movement indirectly by creating a climate of anxiety about aspects of Scottish society where blame can be attributed to actions by the SNP or to the possible consequences of being independent. This process of deviance amplification is generated by groups, ‘moral guardians’, who seek to benefit from public perceptions of a crisis – the Unionist parties and their media partners – when there is, actually, a less dramatic and less concerning environment experienced, day-to-day, by citizens.

There are three main criticisms of the media coverage of Police Scotland. First, not enough attention is given to the fact that the misbehaviour reported is historical, prior to 2014, and was, in most cases, the responsibility of the ‘legacy forces’ such as Strathclyde Police, which at the political level, were the responsibility of Labour-appointed officials.

Secondly, not enough attention has been given to Police Scotland’s actions, since then, to address their concerns. The public, I suspect I would want to know what the situation is in 2018, four or more years later.

Third, in accusing a force of being in crisis, the coverage must be broad enough to include the wider range of Police Scotland performance. Here is evidence to suggest that far from being in crisis, police Scotland is actually performing relatively well. See this comparative evidence, first on staffing:

 ‘Meanwhile, official figures show that the number of police officers in England and Wales has fallen by 930 in the past 12 months, to 121 929, the lowest level since comparable records began in 1996. Police officer numbers are now 22 424 below their peak in 2009, when there were 144 353 officers.’

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/jan/25/knife-and-gun-rises-sharply-in-england-and-wales

‘As at 30 June 2017, there were 17 249 full-time equivalent (FTE) police officers in Scotland.  This is an increase of 1 015 police officers from the position at 31 March 2007 (+6.3 per cent). Police officer numbers have decreased by 7 FTE officers in the last quarter, since 31 March 2017, and increased by 7 FTE officers in the last year since 30 June 2016.’

http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Crime-Justice/TrendPolice

What do these figures mean in terms of the ratio of police officers to members of the public? See this:

Population England and Wales is 56 million

Number of police officers in 2017 was 121 929

Population Scotland is 5.3 million

Number of police officers in 2017 was 17 249

Ratio of population to officers England and Wales: 459/1

Ratio of population to officers Scotland: 307/1

So, Scotland has a much better ratio of police officers to members of the public and thus presumably presence on the streets.

Second, what about performance in terms of the level of crime during the years since the merger of forces?

‘The number of crimes recorded by police has also fallen by more than a third over the last decade.’

Isn’t this a hugely important consideration? Police Scotland with SNP Government funding has maintained its staffing as crime falls and Policing in England has seen a massive decline in staffing, under Theresa as Home Secretary, as murder in London surpasses that in New York:

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/london-murder-rate-overtakes-new-york-for-first-time-ever-after-spate-of-fatal-stabbings-and-a3803566.html

I’m not saying the cases of spying and the instability in the top post don’t matter but they and the cases of failure, in two specific cases, matter much less than the overall performance of the force as evidenced in crime levels experienced by millions of citizens. Looking at the graph, above, we see crime continue to fall fast after the creation of Police Scotland. This is not evidence of a ‘crisis-hit’ service.

Third, back in October 2017, I was able to report on Police Scotland officers demonstrating how to defuse dangerous situations with a knife-holding person. I was impressed. It was clear that the NYPD officers would have shot the offender in every case. I felt relieved and proud of these Scottish officers. See this for more:

First New York Police and now Canada’s police come to learn from Scotland’s successes in tackling violence

More recently, we read that the London Metropolitan chief was to visit Scotland in the wake of a series of stabbings and murders in the city over the last year or so in the hope of learning how we have managed to reduce knife crime and knife possession dramatically in the last ten years.

Only the Guardian seemed to report the story. I could find no mention in Herald, Scotsman, or Record, nothing on the BBC Scotland and STV websites. Here’s what the Guardian had to say:

‘Met chief, Cressida Dick, will visit Glasgow on Friday to learn more about Police Scotland’s pioneering work on tackling knife crime in the city once known as the stabbing capital of Europe. Dick told the London assembly at the beginning of January that it was time to treat knife crime as a public health crisis, an approach credited with dramatically reducing deaths in Scotland, which little more than a decade ago had the second highest murder rate in western Europe. Of the 39 children and young people killed with knives in the UK last year, not one was in Scotland. The Violence Reduction Unit was set up in 2005 to tackle Glasgow’s deeply rooted blade culture that had barely moved on since the Gorbals gangland was immortalised in the 1935 novel No Mean City. Since then all knife crime rates have been incrementally reduced. Assaults involving knives had fallen by a third by 2012 and there was a 69% drop in recorded incidents of people carrying knives by 2016, according to Police Scotland figures.’

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/feb/22/met-police-chief-cressida-dickto-visit-scotland-for-ideas-to-reduce-knife

Again, I’m not excusing unacceptable behaviour by some in Police Scotland, at some time in the past, but I am pointing to an organisation’s wider performance and arguing strongly that this could only be seen as evidence of a crisis where those reporting are themselves in a moral crisis of journalistic standards which can be reasonably blamed on an anti-SNP agenda at editorial level.

Despite SNP, Labour and Tories (!) getting together to fully fund huge expansion of early learning and childcare, BBC Scotland try to deny all of it with out-of-date comment

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See this from the Scottish government website today:

‘Almost a billion pounds will be invested annually to fund the huge expansion of early learning and childcare, transforming the life chances of children in Scotland. Following extensive engagement to reach a shared understanding of the costs of the expansion, Scottish Ministers and COSLA Leaders have reached agreement on a multi-year funding package.  This will see the Scottish Government invest by 2021-22 an additional £567 million per year to ensure that every child can access 1140 hours of fully funded early learning and childcare, bringing total annual public spend on early learning and childcare to around £990 million.’ 

COSLA’s Resources Spokesperson Councillor Gail Macgregor, Conservative, said:

‘This is a landmark agreement between the two spheres of government in Scotland.  Local government is fully committed to early learning and childcare expansion to 1140 hours. COSLA and Scotland’s Council Leaders are fully behind the policy.  Today’s agreement by Council Leaders in agreeing the multi- year funding deal is a culmination of months of hard work, negotiation and real partnership working behind the scenes.  We needed to get this policy right from the start, together with the level of funding. I think we have achieved this by working together.’

COSLA’s Education Spokesperson Councillor Stephen McCabe, Labour, added:

‘In my role as COSLA’s Children and Young people Spokesperson my main objective is to ensure that every child in Scotland is offered the best possible start in life, today’s agreement sets us down this road.  This is a bold deal between national and local government on a transformational policy that will be beneficial for the young people of Scotland.  It would be good if, going forward, we could replicate the joint working that we have achieved in this policy area across the board.’

https://news.gov.scot/news/almost-a-billion-pounds-to-fully-fund-childcare

Isn’t this refreshing?  The Scottish mainstream media have mostly ignored the story and the BBC felt obliged to try to contradict what all three parties seem to have now fully agreed at the end of April with a hypothetical concern from back in February:

‘But spending watchdog Audit Scotland warned in February of a “significant risk” that local authorities would not be able to fund the expansion.’

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-43929190

Is it possible, BBC Scotland, that the final deal actually dealt with the Audit Scotland concerns two months earlier?

So, even when the SNP are backed by the opposition parties, they’re still wrong.

However, let’s finish on a positive by repeating McCabe’s hope that we might see more of this kind of thing in the interest of Scotland and less of the petty tribalism so common.

It would be good if, going forward, we could replicate the joint working that we have achieved in this policy area across the board

NHS Lothian ‘bed-blocking’ remains much lower than average in NHS England

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Today as part of its wider proxy war on behalf of the opposition parties and against the SNP, the Scotsman reported:

‘NHS Lothian ‘bed-blocking’ figures 10% higher after error. One of Scotland’s largest health boards recorded ‘bed-blocking’ figures that were 10 percent higher than previously submitted due to a reporting error.  NHS Lothian posted statistics that were incorrect with data omitted that had to subsequently be revised by the Information Services Division.’

https://www.scotsman.com/news/uk/nhs-lothian-bed-blocking-figures-10-higher-after-error-1-4731120

The revised figure for ‘beds days occupied by delayed discharges, all delays, 2017/18, to February 2018’, in NHS Lothian, was 10 428 days. No context is given in the report. We don’t know whether this 10% matters because it is 10% of a worrying figure in a wider UK context or whether it is 10% of a figure that is quite low in a UK context.

http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Health-and-Social-Community-Care/Publications/data-tables2017.asp?id=2140#2140

Bed-blocking is the result of delayed discharges where the patient is otherwise well-enough to be discharged but cannot be because arrangements for their continuing care or recuperation in the community, are not yet in place. The situation in England is more serious:

‘In 2016/17 there were 2.3 million delayed transfer days in England, an average of around 6,200 per day. The average number of delayed days for 2016/17 was 25% higher than the previous year.’

England has a population of 54.3 million. Lothian Health board covers a population of 890 000 (including Edinburgh) or 1/60th of that of NHS England. So, if bed-blocking was a comparable problem in Lothian, it would have 1/60th of the English figure of 2.3 million, or 38 333 days of bed-blocking, but it only had 10 428, in the same year, 2016/17. Bed-blocking in England is, thus, more than three times as bad.

https://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Health-and-Social-Community-Care/Publications/2018-04-03/2018-04-03-DelayedDischarges-Summary.pdf?98556154967

Briefing Paper: Number 7415, 20 June 2017: Delayed transfers of care in the NHS:

researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7415/CBP-7415.pdf