Talking-up Scotland

The most recent Westminster voting intentions sub-poll of 154 Scots on 23^rd to 24^th April, from YouGov has

• Con 19%
• Lab 10%
• LD 6%
• SNP 44%
• UKIP 8%
• Green 5%
• Brexit 7%
• Change 1% 

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/9ypyeidbr5/TheTimes_190425_VI_Tracker_w_bpc.pdf

The previous sub-poll for Orb from a Scottish sample of 143, on 16^th and 17^th April, on Westminster voting intentions, gave:

• Labour 17%
• Con 15%
• Brexit 7%
• LibDem 5%
• TIG 2%
• UKIP 2%
• Green 8%
• SNP 42%

 These sub-polls are saying essentially the same thing with minor variation in that the SNP is very solid at opposition wipe-out level, above 40%, regardless of the stalled Brexit/UKIP vote, that the Tories and Labour are collectively capable of little more than 30% because of the Brexit/UKIP share at 10 to 15% and that the combined Indy vote is close to 50%.