After a long period with the sub-polls reporting SNP support steady at 41%, clearly unaffected by the ‘SNP Civil War’ following ‘Salmondgate’, we’ve had a run of 6 sub-polls with 5 suggesting SNP support at 45% to 50% and one back at 41%. Sub-polls are unreliable but with more than 700 people sampled in these collectively, they begin to reasonably suggest a surge.
Now from BMG, online, based on the period 2nd – 5th April, we get:
Lib Dem 2%
Across the 7 sub-polls from Ipsos MORI on 15th to 19th March, we have a healthy average of 46.14%, enough to wipe the board.
While the final throes of Labour are clear, the mini-surge for the Tories is to be regretted. I cannot believe that 3 in 10 Scots are Tories, yet…..