Reporting Scotland ponder what to say as crime in Scotland falls 16% in one year

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As Jackie lies about violent crime, Reevel prays for retirement before the next survey.

The Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) is 184 pages long so I feel sure Revoking Scotland will find something bad to report on, but they’ll have to avoid the headline figures, to do so.

What is the SCJS?

‘The Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) is a large-scale social survey which asks people about their experiences and perceptions of crime. The 2017/18 survey is based on around 5,480 face-to-face interviews with adults (aged 16 or over) living in private households in Scotland. This report presents the results of the sixth SCJS, with interviews conducted between April 2017 and May 2018.’

The SCJS reports higher levels of crime than those in police statistics.

What are the main findings?

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https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-crime-justice-survey-2017-18-main-findings/

The equivalent report for England and Wales does not report actual overall figures but says:

‘Over recent decades we’ve seen continued falls in overall levels of crime but in the last year there has been no change.’

In a 76 page document there seems to be no space for the overall figure trend to be presented.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/yearendingseptember2018#latest-figures

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5 thoughts on “Reporting Scotland ponder what to say as crime in Scotland falls 16% in one year

  1. Ludo Thierry March 26, 2019 / 12:47 pm

    Hi John – to save beeb Scotland some work I’ve cherry-picked all the positive comparison figures that I could see in the reports on the Scottish Crime Survey stats from the 2 items on the news.gov.scot site – it was fairly easy as the figures were pretty much showing positive trends across the board. As you suggest – the poor beeb Scotland ‘researchers’ will be tearing what’s left of their hair oot as they try to paint these stats as ‘Essss-Ennnn-peeee Baaaaaad!!!’:

    To add to your own coverage hope it’s OK to include these links and snippets below (apols for any repetition)?:

    https://news.gov.scot/news/scottish-crime-and-justice-survey-2017-18
    https://news.gov.scot/news/crime-falls-by-more-than-40-percent-in-a-decade

    Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) 2017-18 figures – including incidents not reported to police – show that crime is at the lowest level ever estimated by the survey, and violent crime has almost halved since 2008-09.

    The proportion of alcohol-related violent crime is also estimated to be down by around a quarter since 2008/09.

    Partner abuse: overall, 15.6% of adults reported experiencing at least one form of partner abuse, either psychological or physical, since the age of 16… a decrease since 2008-09 (18.2%). However, since 2008-09 the proportion of respondents who reported experiencing any partner abuse in the 12 months prior to interview has fallen from 4.2% to 3.0%.

    • One in eight (12.5% of) adults in Scotland experienced a crime in 2017-18, compared to one in five (20.4%) in 2008-09, and compared to an equivalent victimisation rate in England & Wales of 14.4% in 2017-18

    • Property crime, which constitutes most offences committed against adults in Scotland, including vandalism and housebreaking, fell by 41% between 2008-09 and 2017-18

    • The rate of repeat violent victimisation has fallen from 1.6% in 2008-09 to 0.7% in 2017-18.

    • 77% of adults felt safe walking alone after dark – an increase of 11 percentage points since 2008-09

    Most adults (87.5%) experienced no crime in 2017-18. The SCJS estimates that the proportion of adults experiencing crime has fallen from around one in five in 2008-09 (20.4%), to one in eight in 2017-18 (12.5%).

    In 2017-18, 10.8% of adults were estimated to have been a victim of property crime and 2.3% of adults a victim of violent crime, down from 18.0% and 4.1% in 2008-09 respectively.

    • the proportion of adults aged 16-24 experiencing violent crime has more than halved from 12.0% in 2008-09 to 5.8% in 2017-18

    • the violent crime victimisation rate in 2017/18, for adults living in the 15% most deprived areas (3.8%), has not shown any significant change from 2008-09, whereas the rate has reduced for those living in the rest of Scotland (from 3.8% to 2.1%)

    There were an estimated 602,000 crimes in 2017-18, down by more than two-fifths (42%) since the 1,045,000 crimes estimated in 2008-09.

    More than three-quarters also said they felt very or fairly safe walking alone in their neighbourhood after dark (77%), up from 66% in 2008-09.

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  2. Alasdair Macdonald March 26, 2019 / 6:59 pm

    They have just ignored these data. Surely that was predictable!

    Liked by 1 person

    • diabloandco March 27, 2019 / 8:12 am

      Bias by omission , lie by omission , desperately trying to negate Scotland by omission – goodness knows why they stay in such a dreadful country or are they all marking time for the ‘big time ‘ when they become foreign correspondents?

      By the way I absolutely love Frankie Boyle’s definition of lazy journalism.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Alasdair Macdonald March 27, 2019 / 5:49 pm

      What they do is publish around half of the pieces on the BBC Scotland site reporting crimes. It is a variation of the selective vox pops. If people read a lot about crime they form the impression that there is a lot of crime. There is a fair body of evidence that fear of crime is what worries people, not the actual crime.

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