We’re grateful to Alex Cole-Hamilton, Junior Shadowy Health Secretary, for his parliamentary question:
‘To ask the Scottish Government how many people in each NHS board area have died in each year since 2009 while waiting for a kidney transplant.’
which generated this information:
For context, in NHS England:
‘NHSBT records show 411 patients died on the active waiting list for a transplant, between March 10th2016, and March 2nd2017.’
So, with around 10 times the population, NHS England might be expected to have ten times the deaths, at 310, but had 411 cases or roughly 33% higher.
The Scottish figure has also fallen by 20% in 2018.
Explanation for this gap can be found here:
Organ donor registration in Scotland is 37% higher than in England. Does it mean something more?
NHS Scotland: 27% increase in kidney transplants including 10% increase from living donors as ‘UK’ level falls to eight-year low
What is absent is the total number of patients awaiting a kidney transplant, which gives us an idea of the level of demand.
Using a three-year rolling average to smooth out fluctuations and give an idea of trend indicates that over the period covered by the answer the average has risen from 25.3 to 28.7. Now, that is the kind of BAAAAD datum that the BBC and the unionists like, but again we require contextual information to come to some kind of conclusion.
I wonder what the rate in Scotland is? Anyone got any data about this?