Latest sub-polls put SNP well ahead and apparently unaffected by ‘civil wars’ or sex claims

snpcivilwarsausage

It’s only two sub-polls so there are limitations but in the absence of anyone prepared to do a larger Scottish poll, we can reasonably show a little interest and take a little conditional pleasure in two early February polls showing the SNP above 40% in Westminster voting intentions.

An Ipsos MORI with a sample of 93 and field work on 1-5th February, found:

Conservative   14%

Labour             29%

SNP                  44%

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2019-02/pm_-_tables_-_feb19.pdf

Before that, YouGov with a larger sample of 159 and field work on 3-4th February 2019, found

Conservative   22%

Labour             21%

SNP                  41%

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/bdt8liuhhj/TheTimes_190204_VI_Trackers_bpc_w.pdf

It’s hard to see, in these, any sign that the media feeding frenzy over the Salmond case and their hoped-for civil wars have had any impact on support for the SNP. Both suggest a fairly strong recovery from the 2017 Westminster election.

 

 

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12 thoughts on “Latest sub-polls put SNP well ahead and apparently unaffected by ‘civil wars’ or sex claims

  1. Alasdair Macdonald February 8, 2019 / 11:22 am

    Although the damp,Es are small and I, like others, am prone to confirmation bias, I think that this straw in the wind, is indicative of the fact that most people can see past the blustering mendacity of the media and get to the key issues. People who think Scotland should be independent have that as their primary aim. It does not depend on the actions or not of one or two people in an aspect of life unrelated to the argument for independence.

    Liked by 3 people

  2. Alasdair Macdonald February 8, 2019 / 11:24 am

    ‘damp.Es’??? No! Samples!! Fat fingers and autocorrect are the banes of my posting

    Liked by 3 people

    • Jens Daly February 8, 2019 / 2:40 pm

      Predictive text is like racist Alexi it disnae sae Scottish mate pmsl 😂😂😂

      Like

      • AlasdairMacdonald February 8, 2019 / 4:17 pm

        Did you ever see the comedy sketch where the two Glaswegians get into a voice controlled lift and try to get it to take them to floor Eleven? This is the acoustic version of autocorrect.

        Liked by 1 person

  3. Legerwood February 8, 2019 / 2:55 pm

    I received a YouGov poll today. It was on sports but right at the end I was asked to confirm my postcode. Happens fairly regularly but this time it was filled by a question about who I would vote for in a General Election for Westminster accompanied by a list of the candidates and their party affiliations from the 2017 GE
    .
    Such a specific, constituency based question has never been asked before. Usually they just ask which party you would vote for. Although given that the list of candidates may change at the next GE they were essentially asking which party I would vote for.

    Still. Makes you wonder who commissioned that part of the survey.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Contrary February 9, 2019 / 10:51 am

      You were asked about specific (potential or previous?) candidates? How strange. As you say, the person might change,,, or maybe a party only changes their candidate based on the poll results? Interesting.

      Liked by 1 person

  4. Alex Montrose February 8, 2019 / 3:01 pm

    Always been slicey to me.

    Like

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