‘The age of persistently weak oil prices is nearing its end, with demand booming and a supply squeeze in the offing’ Scotland’s oil on verge of price boom


‘Those in the oil market fearing a flood of OPEC supply next year will probably be better off preparing for a shortage’

The headline quote and the one above, are from the analysts Trafigura and from Citigroup in a Bloomberg report today. Both are predicting shortages by 2019. We had earlier predictions of the same by the Aramco chief earlier in the year. With supply falling by as much as 9 million barrels a day and demand from India growing very fast indeed, prices can only rise dramatically. Libya, Nigeria, Venezuela, Iran and Iraq are already pumping at their maximum capacity this year.

I know most readers want Scotland to become renewable energy-based, as I do, but in the debate over independence, low oil prices have been used (effectively?) against us.

Low oil prices have boosted demand for petrol greedy SUVs and the growth in the number of electric vehicles has come too late to avoid the impending shortages. According to Trafigura, it would take 12 years for the US to replace all petrol-based vehicles even if it started a massive programme now.

What about shale oil, some will ask? Well productivity in the biggest oil basin, the Permian, across the southern United states, is diminishing as costs rocket and investors pull out.

Once more, please don’t let this boom be used by a Westminster government to save its otherwise failed economic strategies.


8 thoughts on “‘The age of persistently weak oil prices is nearing its end, with demand booming and a supply squeeze in the offing’ Scotland’s oil on verge of price boom

  1. Bugger (the Panda) September 26, 2017 / 8:00 am

    Stand by for a sledging of “but it will run out in 6 months time” articles and pronouncements, especially by the Wood Group.

    In fact they are starting already

    Liked by 2 people

  2. macgilleleabhar September 26, 2017 / 9:46 am

    You forgot to mention that it is the wrong kind of oil as well.
    The P&J had anti renewable energy people complaining that wind turbines produced “The wrong kind of electricity”!
    I have not worked that one out.


  3. Scott September 26, 2017 / 3:11 pm

    Were we not told that oil was a burden for Scotland and only Westminster was best placed to look after all the revenue from oil or maybe we should ask Ian Gray he knows a lot about an OIL fund.


  4. Alasdair Macdonald September 26, 2017 / 8:29 pm

    The BBC website reported on a new field west of Shetland, but managed to avoid mentioning Scotland anywhere in the article.

    But, one of the old chestnuts of “NO” along with too wee, no very good, customs posts, nae pound, out of Europe, etc is that Orkney and Shetland want to remain in the UK, so, even if the oil was any good, we wurnae gettin it because O&S were keepin givin the revenues to Westminster.


  5. johnrobertson834 September 26, 2017 / 9:28 pm

    There’s no evidence only hearsay about Shetlanders or Orcadians wanting to remain in the UK


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