Good news for the SNP as Anas Sarwar likely to be new Scottish Labour leader

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(c) revolvy.com

A YouGov survey on the 13th has revealed that Scottish Labour supporters are more likely to describe themselves as (just) ‘slightly left of centre’ (20% than English Labour supporters (20%). Also, while 65% of English Labour supporters would choose the clearly leftist Greens as a second preference, in Scotland, only 42% would choose the Greens and 41% would choose the clearly centre-right LibDems.

This suggest the Corbynist Richard Leonard stands less chance than the more centrist, well actually shifty, Anwar Sarwar, can win despite his recent bad press. Reinforcing this point is the fact that only current Labour members will be allowed to vote. There will be no influx of Corbynistas but only the older membership who mostly supported Owen Smith.

YouGov interpret the lack of a major influx of new members to the leftist policies of the SNP:

‘It seems as though politically engaged left-wingers – who have joined Labour in large numbers elsewhere in recent years – did not do so to the same extent in Scotland as they had already found a home in the Scottish National Party. After the independence referendum SNP membership surged to over 100,000, leaving a much smaller pool from which Scottish Labour could draw members.’

Taken together, these points suggest a more centrist candidate will take the Scottish leadership again.

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/09/13/why-labour-centrists-stand-better-chance-scotland/

Sarwar’s leadership seems doomed to further exposure and failure. Add to that the fact that he doesn’t seem that bright and Labour’s future looks even more bleak. Further, the widening gap between Ruth Davidson and her leader suggests a completely fractured, internally squabbling and incoherent opposition.

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17 thoughts on “Good news for the SNP as Anas Sarwar likely to be new Scottish Labour leader

  1. Bugger (the Panda) September 15, 2017 / 10:22 am

    I read the headline and burst out laughing.

    What a shallow gene pool they have,

    Still chuckling

    If I join sLabour in about 6 years I would get my buggin’s turn

    Next!

    Liked by 2 people

  2. macgilleleabhar September 15, 2017 / 10:39 am

    My cynical side is whispering ,
    “Why bother as the Brit Nats already have a North British branch manager called Ruth.”

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Bugger (the Panda) September 15, 2017 / 12:00 pm

    You haven’t seen my human alter ego. I am immortalised in the New York Times about the Real France. The local Bar in my town was packed with real Gascons and a couple of surly Jocks.

    Liked by 1 person

      • Bugger (the Panda) September 15, 2017 / 1:37 pm

        No, but there are only two of us usually in that place we are usually conspiratorially together in our SNP Maquis Cell.

        Never met him, as far as I remember?

        Liked by 1 person

    • Jon September 15, 2017 / 4:01 pm

      Were you ever known as “Bugger (Le Panda) ” ?

      Like

      • Bugger (the Panda) September 15, 2017 / 4:03 pm

        Yes but some blogs don’t allow ( ) in names so it became Bugger le Panda, A password change back it flipped back to original

        Why?

        Like

  4. Bugger (the Panda) September 15, 2017 / 12:03 pm

    sorry, thuggish Jocks

    Like

  5. Ludo Thierry September 15, 2017 / 10:12 pm

    Hi John – Hi all.

    I can’t think of anything to say about Anas so is it OK if I go a bit off topic?

    Noticed the celebrations of the 2nd birthday of the Borders’ Railway throwing up some interesting thinking. Some pressure seems to be building on the Westminster Tory Govt to ‘shirt-tail’ on the huge success of the project and serious calls are being made to extend the line south to Carlisle (HEALTH ALERT – hope I’m not breaking House Rules but I’m about to quote a Tory MP below):

    Scottish Enterprise chairman Bob Keiller has added his voice to calls for an extension of the Borders Railway. Speaking at an event held in Edinburgh on Tuesday to encourage businesses to make the most of the opportunities offered by the two-year-old track, Mr Keiller said the economic benefits of the railway to the region had exceeded all expectations and the same ought to be true of a longer version.

    “The benefits are definitely economic in the Borders, and that was underestimated at the time, so certainly that’s a great thing in terms of bolstering the case for further investment in the railway,” he said.

    “I’ve spent all my life in investment, and I look at things and say if it works, we should do more of it. If it doesn’t work, we shouldn’t do it. “This has clearly worked and is working and can work even better.”

    Scottish Enterprise’s support for the addition of an extra 70 or so miles of track to take the Borders Railway south-west into England and link up with the west coast main line could mark a breakthrough in the campaign for such an extension, believes Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk MP John Lamont. “This is a significant intervention from the head of Scotland’s main economic development agency. “Any extension is clearly going to take time, and in that time we need to ensure the economic potential of the current line is fully realised and we get any extension right.

    “The UK Government has already indicated it is happy to work with the Scottish Government on bringing the railway to Carlisle, and I look forward to helping with this process.”

    The northern counties of England have been hopelessly ignored by the London Govt (of whichever hue) for decades – and there is real potential to enhance trade and economic activity from these counties with Scotland.

    Here’s hoping the success of the Borders’ Railway (brought into being under the SNP Scottish Govt I should mention) can assist the campaigners in the English north to extract the required investment from the London Tory Govt – It will benefit everyone on these islands if it can be brought about – so more power to the campaigners’ elbow I say. (These benefits to our north of England friends will be mightily multiplied when the advantages of an independent Scotland as a close neighbour are realised in due course).

    Curiously I noticed another story where the London Tory Govt seem to be learning lessons from the good governance practised (day in and day out) by the SNP Scottish Govt:

    Campaigners in Wales (not least Plaid – but also the British Labour Party Welsh accounting unit) have (cleverly) pointed out the benefits achieved in the Scottish economy from the SNP Scottish Govt abolishing bridge tolls. This campaign has succeeded in extracting a small – but significant – concession from the Westminster Tory Govt (see below):

    Severn Bridge tolls to be reduced in January 2018

    Tolls on the Severn Bridges will be cut in January for the first time, as VAT is removed from the fees.

    Cars heading for Wales will be charged £5.60 instead of £6.70, with vans paying £11.20 – down from £13.40 – and coaches £16.70, currently £20.

    UK ministers confirmed it was a step towards abolishing tolls altogether at the end of 2018, as revealed in July.

    The UK government said estimates showed abolition of the tolls could boost the south Wales economy by £100m a year and save regular motorists more than £1,400 a year.

    Here we see how the sensible policies and actions of the SNP Scottish Govt are spreading good effect into both northern England and Wales.

    Which is good – because poor Wales seems to have acquired an unpleasant surprise present in the form of their ‘new’ Westminster Tory Govt minister – someone well known to we Scots (a love which – apparently – dare not speak its name – from the beeb Wales website) :

    Meet the new parliamentary under secretary of state for Wales.

    Lord (Ian) Duncan of Springbank was apparently appointed to the role in June, but the Wales Office didn’t exactly trumpet their new minister.

    Indeed, in Downing Street’s full list of ministerial appointments his name appeared only under his other role as a junior minister in the Scotland Office.

    And the Wales Office chose not to correct reports that Lord Bourne of Aberystwyth had not been replaced after his move to the Northern Ireland Office.

    The Wales Office insists that Lord Duncan’s appointment was on the main government website in June. As I write, his Twitter biography describes him as “UK Government Minister for Scotland”.

    I asked when the new Wales Office minister last visited Wales.

    “He hasn’t had any official business there,” said the spokesperson.

    I wonder whether he’ll ever get a chance to parade round his new fiefdom? – Probably not – probably being kept far too busy cooking up plots against Scotland.

    (PS – couldn’t help notice how the beeb Wales political correspondent actually managed to ask an awkward question about a Tory Westminster govt minister – Wouldn’t happen with imperial beeb Scotland branch would it? – Couldn’t we swap Brian Taylor for his beeb Wales opposite number please?)

    Thanks all, Ludo

    Liked by 1 person

    • Bugger (the Panda) September 16, 2017 / 8:10 am

      Re opinion Polls and the recent one suggesting 60+% of Scots voters want and Independence Referendum within two years. This was pumped up by the Mail whose extreme right credentials are without challenge, within the Law.

      Why are they pumping this up?

      Peter Hitchens: “Opinion polls are a device for influencing public opinion, not a device for measuring it. Crack that, and it all makes sense.”

      Ironic that a journalist on the Mail sees though it all in two sentences.

      The back story is the one we need to researching not the false aniseed one

      Like

      • Clydebuilt September 16, 2017 / 9:09 am

        Opinion polls are a device for influencing public opinion. . . . . Exactly . . . on the eve of a Scottish election MIS Reporting Scotland gave Labour a 14% lead over SNP. Think it was 2007.

        Liked by 2 people

    • diabloandco September 19, 2017 / 7:20 am

      No need , if he continues to look like a slowly inflating balloon he will reach over inflation soon and BANG ! – some may even reach wee Wales.

      As for Mr Sarwar – he of TOP SECRET fame – what can one say? Great choice , boys and girls!

      Like

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