Today’s BMG/Herald poll is headlined in the Herald as:
‘Independence support fails to rise after Theresa May’s vote snub’
The other mainstream media outlets are all saying the same thing and they’re all making the same two mistakes.
First, is there any evidence that Scots believe Westminster can really stop us holding a referendum, properly monitored and declaring independence on a positive outcome? Do any of us feel snubbed? We all know that the international community would make it impossible for them to refuse us. So, the fact that it’s holding steady, after three years, in the shortest of striking distances, calls for a different kind of headline, I’d say:
‘Anxiety in Westminster as support for independence holds steady and the result is too close to call even before campaigning begins.’
Second, here are the figures:
‘Excluding those who haven’t yet made up their mind, that puts support for independence at 49 per cent, and 51 per cent in favour of the Union.’
Right at the end of the article an SNP spokesman gets a chance to say:
‘This latest poll again shows a dead heat between Yes and No and that’s before the potential re-election of an extremist Conservative government and its devastating Hard-Brexit agenda. With the potential for more years of tax cuts for the rich, attacks on the disabled, horrific policies such as the Rape Clause and huge cuts to essential public services, all of which Scotland did not vote for, it is essential that the people of Scotland can choose between this nightmare and putting our own future in our hands with independence.’
Reading the above and getting to start the race from this position, I have no fears.