Tory ‘Guru’ Dominic Cumming’s strategy to win inadvertently sacrifices Scottish Tories to SNP

Dominic Cummings in Downing Street, London.

I missed this at the time (7th August) but picked it up on Politics Home which I retrospectively search for ‘reports’ every so often.

Cummings has a plan for victory whereby the Tories sacrifice up to 30 remain-leaning seats across England & Wales to the Lib Dems but win a larger number from Labour. They achieve this by keeping to their firm Brexit line thus keeping the Brexit Party down, splitting the two remain parties’ vote, and coming through the ‘middle’ to win with quite a low vote but enough to do so.

The problem is that Cumming’s strategy, typically Anglocentric, or not giving a for the Boris-hostile Scottish Tories (?), will not work in Scotland. Here, the Tory vote will split with remainers going to the Lib Dems, allowing the SNP to barge through the ‘middle’ and take back the marginal seats which they lost in 2017. Perhaps he has factored in that loss?

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/boris-johnson/analysis/105801/analysis-why-scottish

 

4 thoughts on “Tory ‘Guru’ Dominic Cumming’s strategy to win inadvertently sacrifices Scottish Tories to SNP

  1. Brad Millar August 18, 2019 / 10:03 pm

    and /Scotland gets it’s Independence by winning the vast majority of Scottish seats on the back of campaigning on the ticket of winning the majority of Scottish seats = Independence

    Like

    • gavin August 19, 2019 / 8:09 am

      Totally agree. Its what Maggie Thatcher stated was a prerequisite for independence—a majority of pro-indy Scottish MPs elected to Westminster.
      In remarks surrounding the bizarre story that Trump wants to “purchase” Greenland. Mette Frederiksen, the Danish PM said—“Greenland is not for sale. Greenland is not Danish. Greenland belongs to Greenland”.
      I only wish British nationalists would recognise that Scotland is not English. Scotland belongs to Scotland, and Scots should decide our own future, not others.

      Like

  2. Andrew August 28, 2019 / 9:08 pm

    But seats in WM don’t get us there. We know that.

    Liked by 1 person

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