As we read rumours of an internal Con poll showing Yes support at 57%, from YouGov today based on 138 adults with fieldwork on 2nd and 3rd July:
- Con 15%
- Lab 10%
- Lib 11%
- SNP 45%
- Brexit 10%
- Green 8%
This seems to confirm SNP support in two recent polls.
In the Ipsos-MORI sub-poll of 133 adults, on 21st to 25th June 2019, with 5% not intending to vote:
- Con 28%
- Lab 9%
- Lib 14%
- SNP 46%
- Green 2%
- Brexit 1%
- Not 5%
From YouGov with a sub-poll of 177 adults, on 24th to 25th June 2019:
- Con 14%
- Lab 7%
- LibD 13%
- SNP 43%
- Brexit 7%
- Green 9%
All we need now is Boris and a Garage boorach in Westminster.
May Westminster live in interesting time’s
Time’s was not what I typed.
Only so long you can fool folk , and by *uck they’re shittn themselves , just like the week before the 2014 vote all of a sudden English folk started to ask ” what Scots want to leave us ” how did this happen , well their media strikes again , just like the guff they have been peddling since we joined the common market all those years ago, Byee been a hoot don’t let the door hit yer arse on the way oot .
Tory government refuses to release polling data, even though we pay for it.
Obvious question—what are they hiding, and why don’t the media ask?
There seems to be a lot of volatility in the various polls over the past few months, particularly in the UK ones with support for Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems and Brexit all fluctuating wildly. However, support for the SNP seems to have been pretty steady throughout this period.
So, with regard to the three poll results you have published – I will courageously hedge my bets!
Firstly, the samples are small and subject to significant error. Secondly, with no functioning government at Westminster , no real business for Parliament to do and two leadership elections and now Westminster off on its holidays, there is feverish speculation in the media and boredom, and disenchantment amongst the electorate. There was a report from Mr Jeremy Hunt’s constituency which included vox pops from fairly affluent residents and they were expressing severe anger and disgust and were pretty hostile towards Brexit.These are the gloomy Calvinist side
More positive is the steady, indeed slowly growing, support in Scotland for the SNP and Greens, Professor John Curtice is indicating that there is a change in attitudes towards support for IndyRef2. The media are really getting concerned about the cohesion of the ‘precious union’, particularly with growing English nationalist views and questions being asked about the governance of England. English nationalism as it is showing itself is a pretty nasy beast. It does not, however represent a majority view of the people of England, but, I think increasing numbers of ‘decent’ people in England are becoming alarmed by it and are beginning to become aware that Britain is not England and that what the people in Scotland, Ireland and Wales have been going on about for some years actually has some substance.
We are living in ‘interesting times’ as the ambiguous Chines blessing has it.