Talking-up Scotland

SNP at 45% so not quite as good as the two sub-polls from Opinium (13-15 March) with SNP at 51% and from Ipsos MORI (15-19 March) at 50% but pretty much the same as Opinium (20-22 March), at 46%, and still significantly up on the previous six, consistently putting them at 41%.

400 sampled giving SNP support at between 45% and 51% so well on the way to recouping many losses?

Interesting to note only Opinium suggesting Tories up at 25/26% in sharp contrast to YouGov and Ipsos MORI putting them at only 17% and 15% respectively.

By YouGov for the Times with 181 adults for 24^th to 25th March:

• Conservative   17%
• Labour             18%
• Lib Dems         8%
• SNP                  45%
• UKIP                3%
• Greens            5%

 

By Opinium for the Observer with 118 adults for 20^th to 22 March:

• Conservative   26%
• Labour             17%
• Lib Dems         4%
• SNP                  46%
• Greens             1%
• UKIP                6%

 

By Ipsos MORI with 91 adults for 15^th to 19^th of March, for all respondents:

• Conservative   15%
• Labour             16%
• Lib Dems         10%
• SNP                  50%
• Greens             1%
• UKIP                 2%

Looking only at those certain to vote:

• Conservative   12%
• Labour             15%
• Lib Dems         8%
• SNP                  55%
• Greens             2%
• UKIP                 1%

 

 

By Opinium for the Observer, 13^th to 15^th March, with 110 adults, online and with The Independent Group included:

• Conservatives              25%
• Labour                         8%
• TIG                               4%
• Lib Dems                     4%
• UKIP                            6%
• SNP                              51%
• Green                          2%

 

Footnote: Still no sign of any pollster asking Scots how they would vote in Indyref2.