FOURTH sub-poll in row maintains strong lead for SNP

SNP

SNP at 45% so not quite as good as the two sub-polls from Opinium (13-15 March) with SNP at 51% and from Ipsos MORI (15-19 March) at 50% but pretty much the same as Opinium (20-22 March), at 46%, and still significantly up on the previous six, consistently putting them at 41%.

400 sampled giving SNP support at between 45% and 51% so well on the way to recouping many losses?

Interesting to note only Opinium suggesting Tories up at 25/26% in sharp contrast to YouGov and Ipsos MORI putting them at only 17% and 15% respectively.

By YouGov for the Times with 181 adults for 24th to 25th March:

  • Conservative   17%
  • Labour             18%
  • Lib Dems         8%
  • SNP                  45%
  • UKIP                3%
  • Greens            5%

 

By Opinium for the Observer with 118 adults for 20th to 22 March:

  • Conservative   26%
  • Labour             17%
  • Lib Dems         4%
  • SNP                  46%
  • Greens             1%
  • UKIP                6%

 

By Ipsos MORI with 91 adults for 15th to 19th of March, for all respondents:

  • Conservative   15%
  • Labour             16%
  • Lib Dems         10%
  • SNP                  50%
  • Greens             1%
  • UKIP                 2%

Looking only at those certain to vote:

  • Conservative   12%
  • Labour             15%
  • Lib Dems         8%
  • SNP                  55%
  • Greens             2%
  • UKIP                 1%

 

 

By Opinium for the Observer, 13th to 15th March, with 110 adults, online and with The Independent Group included:

  • Conservatives              25%
  • Labour                         8%
  • TIG                               4%
  • Lib Dems                     4%
  • UKIP                            6%
  • SNP                              51%
  • Green                          2%

 

Footnote: Still no sign of any pollster asking Scots how they would vote in Indyref2.

 

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3 thoughts on “FOURTH sub-poll in row maintains strong lead for SNP

  1. gavin March 27, 2019 / 5:06 pm

    Good polling.
    I just heard Joanna Cherry state in the Commons, that the SNP would positively welcome an immediate election (due to the Brexit shambles)—– because of good polls.

    I would expect the SNP run private polls rather than rely on random sub-samples, and that Joanna will have sight of them.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. Bugger (the Panda) March 27, 2019 / 8:23 pm

    I am of the opinion that this London administration has so poisoned the Well in a Scotland that amy starting position for independence will see Unionism crumble

    Pandas never lie.

    We don’t know how to.

    Liked by 1 person

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