Three sub-polls put SNP well ahead and Tories with dander up after success of carpark dogging investigation campaign



Tories report five carpark doggers on signs too small to read, all party members! Ross Thomson sent his apologies

They’re sub-polls so there are limitations but in the absence of anyone prepared to do a larger Scottish poll, we can reasonably show a little interest and take a little conditional pleasure in three early February polls showing the SNP at 40% or above in Westminster voting intentions. Both the SNP and Tories seem unaffected by the ‘civil wars’ or sex claims. but Labour seem in terminal decline. Come on Richard, at least wink at Jackie Ballie!

An Opinium poll with a sample of 169 and field work on 13-15th February, found:

Conservative   24%

Labour             18%

SNP                   40%


Before that, YouGov with a sample of 159 and field work on 3-4th February 2019, found

Conservative   22%

Labour             21%

SNP                  41%


And an Ipsos MORI with a sample of 93 and field work on 1-5th February, found:

Conservative   14%

Labour             29%

SNP                  44%

I fear the Tories may take this too seriously and just go for it.


10 thoughts on “Three sub-polls put SNP well ahead and Tories with dander up after success of carpark dogging investigation campaign

  1. gavin February 17, 2019 / 4:58 pm

    Whit? Nothing on Wee Wullie and the Dumbs?
    I demand a recount.
    And a postal ballot.
    Maybe throw some chicken bones and——beware the Ides.
    But we don’t need to read the entrails to know the Dumbs under Rennie are sinking fast. Jo Swinson is also losing ground in the party, where she was once a shoo-in.

    While Jo is on my mind, would it not be interesting to have an interview between “Estuary English” Gordon Brewer and “Jockney” Jo?
    ‘Course we would need subtitles to work what they were saying.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. gavin February 17, 2019 / 5:07 pm

    Something in passing.

    Have the Scottish Tories shown the exact same party political on the last three occasions?
    I don’t watch party ads, but it seems the same intro, with three Scottish accented people (when the bulk of their Scottish party has Anglicised speech) to the fore.


  3. Contrary February 17, 2019 / 9:08 pm

    I hope RevStu gets on with his polling and makes it a big Scottish sample, the variation between 160 and 93 sub samples seems a bit suspicious.

    John, I want your opinion, not on the content of my list for a ‘plan’ I put in the comments here:

    But on whether you think that producing a document that sets out procedure and timing for negotiation and implementation would give people a better sense of security than a document listing the details of what could be (e.g. The White Paper used last time by the SNP.)?

    I feel better about knowing what is going to happen when and how it will be done, but I’m a bit of a weirdo, so need to understand if other people would view it as unnecessary, pointless, useful, or give that greater sense of security – have you any insights? Mainly thinking about the ‘undecideds’.

    Liked by 1 person

    • bigjon999 February 17, 2019 / 9:47 pm

      I reckon a list of items that would be needed to move from a vote to independence would be very useful for all, dedicated lessors and undecided alike. Of course dates would have to be approximate but a description of the process and stages would definitely make it easier to argue the case.

      Liked by 1 person

  4. Bugger (the Panda) February 18, 2019 / 6:49 am

    That car park photo looks like it was taken by a passing tourist thinking the 5 are an item, and are looking for a full length panoramic souvenir


    Liked by 1 person

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