No Civil War effect with SNP at 47% in YouGov sub-poll which would almost wipe out other parties

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I know it’s only a sub-poll of 153, not really a ‘poll’, but if it is some early, wee, indication of opinion shifting as UK parliamentary democracy revealed itself as utterly dysfunctional and as the SNP 2nd Civil War story either failed to take hold of the people’s imagination or even got up their noses, 47% would take the SNP close to the 56 out of the 59 Westminster seats they took in 2015. If this is only an early harbinger of a trend, we might be looking at greater than 50% and a total wipe out of the opposition. Let’s dream! Labour support plummeted to 14% so would Ian Murray in Edinburgh South survive?

The fieldwork was done on the 13th and 14th January 2019, well into the Scottish MSM carpet bombing of the electorate with images of the alleged Salmond and Sturgeon split and a consequent civil war among their supporters and as the disturbing freak show that is UK parliamentary democracy seems likely to have filled many with shock and disgust.

Notably, Scots were also, by far, the group most likely to say they would definitley vote, the least concerned about crime and the most dissatisfied with the UK Government’s Brexit negotiations.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/l74efpae3w/TheTimes_190114_VI_Trackers_bpc_w.pdf

 

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8 thoughts on “No Civil War effect with SNP at 47% in YouGov sub-poll which would almost wipe out other parties

  1. gavin January 18, 2019 / 7:59 pm

    Fluffy Von Cassandra* says “Nae way hombre. There is no interest by us North Brits, in Scots having a say in their own future”, says the polling guru, small town lawyer and former too-stoopit-to-be Secretary of State!
    The world renowned Horologist ( his wish was to “have a BIG clock” at yuletide, though apparently he wanted to suck it?) says now is not the time, and anyway Scotland is not a partner nation but only a part (bit player) of the UK, and if Scotland left, it would morph into the FUK, and Lizzie doesn’t want to be Queen of FUK. So there, all settled now. And Jaikie Carlot agrees, and he is Ruthies No 2 and used to sell old cars before he got famous.

    Now where is that clock?

    *The same Dumfries Von Cassandra family of fortune-tellers( by phrenology), who forecast lizards would rule the world by 1963, humans would live under the sea and the Queen would marry a Commoner named Fluffy and reform the Empire. Their offspring would be known as the “dumpling dynasty”.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. Legerwood January 18, 2019 / 8:44 pm

    Channel 4 news tonight had an item about a new Right wing group that seems to be supporting another referendum. They had carried out surveys in the constituent parts of the UK in the event of Brexit. In Scotland 69 would want Independence, NI it was 66% for United Ireland, Wales it was 36% for independence. And that was a Tory Group doing the survey.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Alasdair Macdonald January 18, 2019 / 10:19 pm

      Legerwood, my recollection was that these figures indicated the percentages who think that Brexit will make Scottish independence and Irish reunification more likely, not the percentages of those who expressed these preferences.

      I did not catch the description of the group who authorised the poll, but, if it is a ‘right wing group’, it could be a Project Fear type frightener to stiffen the resolve of unionists in Scotland and Northern Ireland. (This presbyterian gloom is hard to shake off – every silver lining has a huge grey cloud attached!)

      The really interesting thing about the Channel Four News tonight was the way Michael Crick got tore in to Boris Johnson, when he was making a mendacious speech promoting himself at the JCB factory. He was really persistent, telling him he was telling porkies and quoting contradictions from earlier speeches. He pursued him to his changing room until barred by a ‘heavy’. In the studio, Krishnan Guru-Murthy actually called Mr Johnson’s statements ‘lies’! This is the kind of reporting I thought had disappeared.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Legerwood January 19, 2019 / 4:57 pm

        You are probably correct. I could not remember exactly what the figures referred to and too busy multi-tasking to really pay close attention. I did look on the CH4 news web site last night but they did not seem to have that item on the web site

        I saw Mr Crick go after Boris. Mr Crick does that quite often and one time got battered with a magazine by one of the politicians he was pursuing.

        Liked by 1 person

  3. billglen January 19, 2019 / 10:04 am

    Maybe they Reduced it to 153 as higher numbers were showing a higher percentage

    Like

  4. Alasdair Macdonald January 19, 2019 / 7:49 pm

    Legerwood, thanks for the link. I was speaking about the Michael Crick interview with a friend who had a fairly long career in broadcasting and who knew Michael Crick quite well. He is the son of Professor Bernard Crick. My friend had a high regard for Michael Crick and considers him a ‘very good journalist’.

    As well as Mr Crick’s persistence I was also impressed when, back in the studio, Krishna Guru-Murthy described aspects of Mr Johnson’s speech as ‘lies’. The BBC simply reported ‘Boris’s’ speech without comment other than as a ‘leadership challenge’.

    Like

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