The Kantar sub-poll, two days ago, suggested a recovery by the SNP and decline by both Tories and Labour, but the numbers were too small (less than 100) to give confidence.
However, today’s Survation poll of more than 1 000 adults, for the Daily Record, gives greater confidence in the expected recovery by the SNP as Westminster staggers from one crisis to another. The results on voting intentions for Westminster are:
- SNP 42% up 5
- Conservatives 24% down 5
- Labour 23% down 4
In terms of seats, this would give
- SNP 49 up 14
- Conservatives 5 down 8
- Labour 1 down 6
We can’t see when the data was collected but can be sure it was before Trump’s astonishing undermining of May’s Brexit plans and the chaotic presentation of the plans at Westminster. These events, subsequent EU rejection of much of the plan, further back-stabbing within the Tories and a failure by Labour to do anything, can only push SNP support toward overwhelming support in Scotland with a bonus in Davidson having to seek a seat south of the border.