Betfair now has Jeremy Corbyn as favourite to replace Theresa May. How could that happen? Well in the wake of the tower block fire and her less than human performance after it, some pundits predict she will lose the vote on her Queen’s Speech next week opening the door to a progressive alliance led by Labour.
Boris Johnson’s chances are tainted with his comments on fire-brigade cuts when he was Mayor of London just as May was tainted but regrettably not broken by her comments on police service cuts when she was Home Secretary after the Manchester attack.
Further, May’s reliance on the DUP is looking shakier by the minute. Just as their views on gays and abortion are toxic for many Tories, the Tories’ social policies such as the bedroom tax are toxic for the DUP. Beyond that, what would Sinn Fein do? If their seven MPs were to turn up, May’s Tory/DUP alliance looks very shaky indeed. I’m not the only one to think this:
Back to Scotland. A progressive alliance led by Labour would depend heavily on the SNP votes. What could we squeeze out of them in terms of further autonomy? A softer Brexit would be a certainty. Labour in Scotland have no political weight to counter Labour HQ’s strategic moves and I don’t think Corbyn is at all hostile to greater autonomy for Scotland. Only Kezia stands in the way and her days must be numbered now. Everyone knows the increased Labour vote in Scotland was down to Corbyn and not her. You could even argue her encouragement of tactical voting to get the SNP out, let the Tories in.