Angus Robertson is safe!

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I know it’s partial figures again but this is the fourth set of such suggesting the SNP in the middle to upper 40% area. This one, from YouGov, who tend to favour the Tories gives this:

SNP 42% (n/c)
Conservatives 26% (-3)
Labour 25% (+6)

Angus Robertson has an 18% majority and Moray has been an SNP seat for twenty years now. I know there can be local variation in constituencies but I don’t think anyone is betting heavily on this one with the Tories looking like they’re at least 16% behind. The Tories who dream of toppling Angus look to be taking a hit from the Scottish Labour revival due to the Corbyn surge. That can only be good news as it will split the opposition vote and allow an SNP win, even with a reduced majority.

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6 thoughts on “Angus Robertson is safe!

  1. Finnmacollie June 5, 2017 / 11:02 am

    I sincerely hope you are right. It would be a tragedy to lose him. Even (mainly English) commentators acknowledge his powerful presence in Westminster, asking the questions that Corbyn should be asking. It seems that he is the one Treeza fears most at PMQ’s. Unfortunately, in common with the rest of the SNP MP’s, he doesn’t get the news coverage in what passes for Scotland’s media.

    It also seems that GMS is covertly campaigning for the Tories in his constituency – see GAPonsonby for details.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. archie14 June 5, 2017 / 3:33 pm

    I am sure Angus will be returned. What do you make of this You Gov Prediction Model, Electoral Calcus has different numbers, I take it is just rough possibilities

    Like

    • johnrobertson834 June 5, 2017 / 5:10 pm

      Lies damned lies and stats. They make assumptihttps://thoughtcontrolscotland.wordpress.com/wp-admin/edit-comments.php?p=2412#comments-formons

      Like

  3. Ed Steel June 5, 2017 / 6:09 pm

    I pray this is correct. Angus is a huge intellect for Scotland – not just the SNP. In any Brexit negotiations he should be given a key position. Theresa May doesn’t get a look in – not in the same league whatsoever. Macht’s gut Herr Robertson!

    Like

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