Is Scotland’s A&E still the best in the UK, in 2016? Is it still the best in the World as it was in 2015? Did BBC Scotland mention this?

ambulance 

Images: herald, daily record

You might remember this from January 2016:

‘Scotland’s A&E the best in world – Sturgeon hits back on health record’ (The National 29th January 2016)

The article by Kathleen Nutt went on to say:

‘NICOLA Sturgeon yesterday cited comments from a leading medical college saying the UK “has the best performing accident and emergency services in the world” and that Scotland “has the best performing A&E services in the United Kingdom” as she brushed off an attack from Kezia Dugdale on the state of the NHS north of the Border.’

I had reported the same story on the 11th December 2015 in ‘Here is the news: NHS Scotland performs better, but you may not know it’ at: http://newsnet.scot/citizen/news-nhs-scotland-performs-better-may-not-know/

Nicola didn’t credit me. The SNP never credit me with anything. I think I’m considered a bit mad or wild or something. Maybe they found it themselves. Anyhoo, as we approach Winter 2016/2017, I wondered if we’re still the best on the World or at least still the best in the UK? The bad news is I don’t know how we’re doing globally but the good news is that we are actually pulling away from the others, especially England.

In October 2015, 94.7% of patients in Scottish A&E departments were seen within four hours. In England it was 92.3% so not really a very big difference. The year before, in October 2014, Scotland’s performance had been 1.9% behind England. In October 2016, after another year of Tory rule over NHS England and, of course one more year of SNP rule over NHS Scotland, here are the figures:

Table 1: Percentage of patients spending less than 4 hours in A&E 2015–16

England            87.9%

Wales                77.7%

Scotland           93.3%

N Ireland         71.7%

These data mean that Scotland is holding to its high performance despite more Westminster austerity cuts and continuing to improve as NHS England’s performance worsens. The 1.4% fall in Scotland is probably too small to be statistically significant or meaningful. However the 4.4% fall in England, in one year, seems significant and worrying. The 5.4% difference in performance between Scotland and England looks pretty big to me

I’m not a statistician so I must admit to not knowing if these differences are or are not statistically significant.

The above table is from page 6 of:

House of Commons Health Committee Winter pressure in accident and emergency departments Third Report of Session 2016–17 Report, together with formal minutes relating to the report Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed 25 October 2016 at:

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmhealth/277/277.pdf utm_source=277&utm_campaign=modulereports&utm_medium=module

So, Kezia, Ruth, that’ll be a scandal then….for NHS England?

Did BBC Scotland cover this? I have to admit I don’t know for certain but I don’t remember it. Anyone?

 Other sources:

http://www.thenational.scot/news/scotlands-ae-the-best-in-world—sturgeon-hits-back-on-health-record.13026

 

 

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7 thoughts on “Is Scotland’s A&E still the best in the UK, in 2016? Is it still the best in the World as it was in 2015? Did BBC Scotland mention this?

  1. Pat Carroll November 4, 2016 / 3:15 pm

    Not much hope of the BBC broadcasting anything positive about the SNP or Holyrood.

    Like

  2. Clydebuilt November 4, 2016 / 8:30 pm

    Best thing to do with this kind of analysis is to get it posted far and wide on Social media….. “Statistically significant”, regularily hear that properly carried out political polling is accurate to + – 3%…… That’s based on a sample size of over 1000…..

    Is there a recognised method to grade severity of interrogation / interview dished out by radio Scotland to S. G representatives. Would be interesting to compare these assaults with typical interviews experienced (enjoyed) by their English counterparts.

    Like

  3. johnrobertson834 November 5, 2016 / 11:49 am

    Thanks. So more than 3% prob significant? Radio interviews, yes very interesting. But don’t have stomach to listen to GMS. sorry about metaphor

    Like

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