https://twitter.com/flaviblePolitic/status/1127251540505395202
Latest Opinium poll for 8th May puts SNP at 52/53 Westminster MPs, up 17/18 with Lib Dems taking the other 3/4. Flavible Politics have mapped it for us (above).
Clearly there are big reservations in applying a general swing based on a small sample but it’s still fun running your mouse over the map to see some names apparently losing badly. The survival of Carmichael is less fun or plausible I’d say.
I’m a bit unsure of this without seeing the data. Let me know if you can get it.
I’ve just seen another one today predicting SNP with 56 & LibDems 3
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=22&LAB=28&LIB=11&UKIP=4&Green=6&ChUK=8&Brexit=21&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVUKIP=&TVGreen=&TVChUK=&TVBrexit=&SCOTCON=21&SCOTLAB=18&SCOTLIB=11&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTGreen=4&SCOTChUK=&SCOTBrexit=&SCOTNAT=41&display=OneRegion®orseat=Scotland&boundary=2017base
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Fascinating. Looks very scientific. Is he respected by other psephologists?
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Wow, if only
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I dream a dream said a good Scottish man wo has been accused of crimes that hi has never comited. His dream and mine will come true very soon. Treachery and treason won’t win next time
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As much as I’d love to see Mundell out on his superannuated fat behind, I can’t see it. Carmichael too.
However, they won’t go unless we heave them out, so let’s give them an almighty and well deserved shove.
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Nope Andy,it’s fact.
I said on Twitter/Facebook/The National over 6 months ago that we would hammer the Red Tories though I have it as down as 53 SNP,1 each for the Tory/Labour and Lib Dems.
Likewise 60/40 In favour of Independence,do not believe a word that idiot of a Tory Curtice says about the polls,he knows the real score and there’s not a cat’s chance in Hell he will come out and tell it as it is.
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Fantastic can’t wait for the reality to happen
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Best news i have heard for a long time this is when the shit will hit the fan be prepared for the onslaught of the media and the tories
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Its already started, with “knocking copy” stories about Cherry, Chris Law and others. No substance but mud sticks.
There have been serious reviews of conduct at Westminster by Dame Cox, but that is blanked by “Scotland’s” colonial press.
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Are the forces of darkness going to use this as the starting gun for thr Vow Mk2
Mail on Sunday supporting the Green’s
Unionist’s are using The Green’s as the last hope to reduce the enormous vote coming down the line for the SNP.
Their parties can’t damage the SNP so all that’s left is splitting the Independence vote!
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there will be a lot of tactical votes to stop the SNP winning
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Who gives a?
Bursting Davidson’s bubble isn’t enough any longer.
Made no difference the last time.
And
Unless the SNP hold the balance of power
will make no difference the next time.
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The data is available on the Opinium website as an Excel spreadsheet.
https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling-8th-may-2019/
Some of their predictions looks a bit unbalanced.
For example nobody who lives in Wales would expect that sort of result for the Labour Party.
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